There are few moments in the year when otherwise sensible people turn into highly committed domestic intelligence units quite like Passover. Cabinets are inspected with unusual seriousness, crumbs acquire strategic significance, and entire households begin moving with the determination of people who believe, not without reason, that one forgotten biscuit in the wrong handbag could compromise the entire mission. In its own very Jewish way, it is magnificent. That, perhaps, is part of what...

A few days ago, I wrote that geopolitical shocks do not automatically create a brand new world. More often, they force the existing one to reveal itself more clearly. Alliances become louder, deterrence becomes more visible, and threat perception sharpens. At the same time, the internet once again produces its familiar class of sofa certified strategists, ready to explain the Middle East to the rest of humanity in record time. But the point of that earlier piece was not to predict the future....

How Critical Events Reshape Priorities and Risk Perception? Some mornings feel different, but not because the world is brand new. It is the same world, running the same old code. History does not repeat like copy and paste, but the patterns are stubbornly familiar if you bother to look. Here in Israel, even Saturday, the day that is supposed to be quiet, can be interrupted by sirens before your coffee has a chance to do its job. And suddenly the world feels sharper. Headlines move faster....